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Scientific Basis of Modeling and Prognostication of the Environment

Major: Environmental Studies
Code of Subject: 8.101.00.O.8
Credits: 5
Department: Ecology and Sustainable Environmental Management
Lecturer: Doctor of science, Аssociate professor Sabadash Vira
Semester: 2 семестр
Mode of Study: заочна
Learning outcomes:
• understanding of principles of research and modeling of phenomena and processes in complex dynamic ecological and environmental systems; methods of calculating the area of contamination by emissions / waste water discharges from a set of dispersed sources;
• ability to process monitoring results, research and analysis of dependencies, build forecasts;
• the ability to independently carry out experimental research and to apply research skills, as well as to make decisions and develop a strategy for solving scientific and applied problems taking into account common human values, public, state and industrial interests;
• the ability to select and use ready-made software (mathematical software packages) for the analytical solution of problems that are models of phenomena and processes in complex dynamic environmental and environmental systems.
Required prior and related subjects:
• Fundamentals of environmental biotechnology;
• Innovative Technologies Treatment and Utilization of Solid Industrial and Municipal Wastes.
Summary of the subject:
General characteristics of scientific environmental forecasting methods. Rationing of emissions and discharges as a means of environmental management. The main tasks of emission regulation. Levels of regulation - local, regional and international. Elements of the theory of processes of transfer and dispersion of pollution in the atmosphere and in the aquatic environment. Statistical scattering models from point sources. Dissipation of gas emissions through high pipes. The influence of the atmosphere on the scattering of gas emissions from high sources. An empirical method for calculating gas emission scattering efficiency in the atmosphere. Principles of calculation of the field of pollution from emissions from a set of dispersed sources; coordinate conversion. Features of regulation of pollution of rivers and reservoirs by sewage. Theoretical bases for pollution dispersion and self-purification of the aquatic environment. Features of scattering of wastewater discharges into open reservoirs (lakes, reservoirs, coastal strip of the sea).
Recommended Books:
1. Allen, P. M. (2012). Cities and regions as self-organizing systems: models of complexity. Routledge.
2. Jorgensen, S. E. (2017). Handbook of environmental and ecological modeling. CRC Press.
3. Jorgensen, S. E., Chon, T. S., & Recknagel, F. (2009). Handbook of ecological modelling and informatics. Wit Press.
Assessment methods and criteria:
• Current control, oral examination (30%)
• final control (control measure, exam), written-oral form (70%)